Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.004554 0.004797 0.005047 0.005324 0.005622 0.005935 0.006288
2025-09-28 0.004016 0.004359 0.004727 0.005153 0.005635 0.006165 0.006795
2025-10-05 0.003780 0.004188 0.004638 0.005175 0.005804 0.006521 0.007408
2025-10-12 0.003629 0.004087 0.004605 0.005240 0.006004 0.006903 0.008055
2025-10-19 0.003452 0.003939 0.004501 0.005204 0.006070 0.007116 0.008498
2025-10-26 0.003306 0.003816 0.004414 0.005177 0.006136 0.007323 0.008933
2025-11-02 0.003173 0.003699 0.004326 0.005137 0.006178 0.007494 0.009326
2025-11-09 0.003117 0.003673 0.004343 0.005228 0.006385 0.007882 0.010024
2025-11-16 0.003006 0.003571 0.004262 0.005185 0.006413 0.008032 0.010402
2025-11-23 0.002921 0.003497 0.004210 0.005176 0.006482 0.008236 0.010864
2025-11-30 0.002812 0.003390 0.004111 0.005098 0.006452 0.008299 0.011121
2025-12-07 0.002719 0.003297 0.004027 0.005037 0.006439 0.008382 0.011409
2025-12-14 0.002654 0.003241 0.003988 0.005036 0.006511 0.008592 0.011906
2025-12-21 0.002531 0.003105 0.003840 0.004879 0.006357 0.008466 0.011874
2025-12-28 0.002484 0.003067 0.003821 0.004899 0.006454 0.008712 0.012443
2026-01-04 0.002456 0.003052 0.003832 0.004959 0.006611 0.009052 0.013185
2026-01-11 0.002395 0.002992 0.003778 0.004926 0.006627 0.009178 0.013580
2026-01-18 0.002340 0.002938 0.003732 0.004901 0.006653 0.009319 0.014007
2026-01-25 0.002284 0.002881 0.003679 0.004864 0.006659 0.009428 0.014385
2026-02-01 0.002272 0.002884 0.003708 0.004948 0.006853 0.009845 0.015339
2026-02-08 0.002220 0.002829 0.003656 0.004909 0.006852 0.009945 0.015723
2026-02-15 0.002180 0.002791 0.003626 0.004900 0.006900 0.010126 0.016271
2026-02-22 0.002122 0.002726 0.003555 0.004828 0.006842 0.010125 0.016471